The forecaster’s edge
Human vs. the Machine
Where does the human forecast add value? Follow the NWS high and low temperatures, then measure NDFD against the National Blend and other models at the same stations.
Loading paired station verification…
Same paired station-days within this office, calculated separately for each model and lead. Select a value to explore its station forecasts.
Model error − NDFD error, in °F. Same station-days and lead. Select a station to see its temperature ribbon and the forecasts behind the score.
Daily minimum → maximum · °F
Forecast values and issue timing
The tiles above show all paired stations for the selected model. These filters apply to the map and heat map.
The score columns use the selected window. Heat-map cells show the most recent 21 verified calendar dates plus 7 future dates; pending forecasts have an outline. A dash means no available forecast or accepted observation. Purple / green are reserved for value; temperatures use Ryan’s original Fahrenheit colors.