Errors are measured on the same cases as NHC's official forecast, so every model is compared fairly with NHC.
Track Leaderboard
nautical miles · lower is better · ranked by error relative to NHC at 48 h · click a column to sort
| Rk | Aid | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h | vs NHC 48 h | vs NHC 120 h | Skill 48 h | Wins | Cases |
|---|
Track error by lead time
NHC and the best model in each league, others in grey · hover for all
Intensity error by lead time
mean absolute error, knots · hover for all
Busts of the Season
the biggest single misses by major guidance
Storm by Storm
winner = smallest average track error at 48 h and 120 h among aids that covered most of the storm